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2014 NFL Divisional Round Playoff Prop Bets

We’re now into the divisional round of the playoffs and the props for this week are up at the Bovada Sportsbook. There were a few big prop payouts last week, but I wasn’t able to hit any. I mentioned T.Y. Hilton, but ended up going with Anquan Boldin.

Andrew Luck had the most passing yards and T.Y. Hilton had the most receiving yards. Both were paying out at great odds. Let’s have a look at the NFL playoff prop market for this week and see if we can’t identify a couple big winners.

Who Will Have the Most Passing Yards?

I think this prop is between Manning and Brady this week. Manning plays the Chargers who allow 258.7 PYPG (27th). He has played 4 games against the Chargers in a Denver jersey and in those games he has thrown for 309 yards, 253 yards, 313 yards and 277 yards.

Brady plays the Colts who allowed Alex Smith to throw for 378 passing yards and 4 TD’s. Brady worries me a bit because he doesn’t have much talent at WR, but I don’t think it’ll matter against Indy. If this becomes a shootout Brady will throw for a lot of yards.

Rivers has struggled, but at 6/1 he could be a candidate as well. Denver allows 254.4 PYPG (27th). The problem I have is that this year these two teams have played conservatively on offense. There are multiple legitimate options, but I’m going with Brady at 5/1 odds.

Who Will Have the Most Rushing Yards?

Last week Bovada only posted odds on four RB’s. Eddie Lacy ended up winning the prop bet, but he was actually #3 in yards behind Kaepernick and Mark Ingram. This week Bovada has posted odds on more players including two QB’s, which is more interesting.

Lynch is the obvious choice, as he’ll get a big workload against the Saints. New Orleans allows 111.6 RYPG (19th), but they were able to hold McCoy to 77 yards on 21 carries last week. Lynch is more of a power back and my money is on him to win this prop.

The problem with Moreno and Matthews is that I’m not even sure if they’ll get many carries, as both RB’s have been sharing running duties lately. Newton and Kaepernick are interesting options because both could break a big run, but I wouldn’t bank on that.

Who Will Have the Most Receiving Yards?

Thomas and Decker will be the popular options this week, but I’m not betting on either WR. The problem with Denver is that they’re stacked at WR/TE. Manning will get his passing yards, but he’ll likely move the football around to as many receivers as possible.

T.Y. Hilton had 13 receptions for 224 yards against the Chiefs last week and he’ll be my pick. Hilton has to have a big game against NE for the Colts to have any chance at winning. Nobody on the Patriots defense can keep up with Hilton on the field either.

Crabtree at 7/1 is also a potential option, but playing the Panthers defense on the road isn’t an ideal match-up. Crabtree finished in 4th place with 125 receiving yards in the wild card round. None of the other options stand out to me due to tough match-ups.

Single Player NFL Prop Bets

Seattle has the best passing defense in the NFL (172 PYPG) and Brees looked pretty bad last week against Philly. Brees had 250 yards through the air in the wild card round. The Seahawks won’t allow the big play and I expect the Saints to run it fairly often.

I already mentioned that the Saints rushing defense is below average above, which is why I’m betting this prop. The Saints actually have the #2 passing defense, so the game plan for the Seahawks should be getting the football into the hands of Lynch.

After watching the Colts secondary last week I think this bet should easily hit. The Pats don’t have much depth at WR/TE right now and Edelman will be the go-to receiver. He has had 7+ receptions in five of his last six games including the last three straight.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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