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2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Outright Winner Futures Betting

The Sprint Unlimited is next Saturday (February 15th 2014) and I can’t wait for the 2014 NASCAR season to start. We’re only a couple weeks away from the Daytona 500 and this year should be much more exciting after the Chase format was completely overhauled.

Top Three Drivers in the Outright Market

Jimmie Johnson won his sixth Sprint Cup title last year, but it came down to the final race. Johnson won six races (2nd), finished in the top five in 16 races (1st) and finished in the top ten in 24 race (1st). He had one of the best seasons we’ve ever seen him put together.

Johnson had the best average finish position (10.69) and the 2nd best driver rating (110.3) last season. This year the final four drivers in the Chase will compete for the Sprint Cup in Race #36 and with the new format I think the outright odds on Johnson are too short.

Kyle Busch quietly had a great season last year. He won four races (3rd), but his last win was in August. He struggled down the stretch as well. His best finish in the last four races of the year was 7th (2X), but that won’t cut it if he wants to win the Sprint Cup title.

Busch finished with 16 top five finishes (1st) and 22 top ten finishes (2nd) last season. If he can replicate what he did last year he’ll be in the hunt to win the title in the final race of the year. If he continues improving on road courses he’ll be a huge threat.

Matt Kenseth almost won his 2nd Sprint Cup title of his career last year after leading all drivers with seven wins, but he fell just short in the final race of the season. Kenseth had the best driver rating (110.9), but I can’t see him having a season like he did last year.

Kenseth has always been consistent, but he normally doesn’t win that many races. My prediction in 2014 is that Kenseth will remain solidified in the top 10 in points and easily earn a spot in the Chase, but he won’t make it to the championship round (Final 4).

Top Contenders Paying Over 10/1 Odds

I have no idea why Harvick is paying 20/1, but he’s my first selection. Harvick made a push once the Chase started last year and he ended up winning two races while moving into 3rd place in points. He won four races (3rd) and he ranked 2nd in AFP (11.19).

Harvick is with Stewart-Haas Racing this year and I think that’s going to help him even more. Since 2008 Harvick has never finished outside of the top 10 at Homestead in the final race of the year, so if he can make the championship round he has a great shot.

Logano is going to break out soon and start winning races. I think it could be this year. He had a great 2nd half to end last season and overall he ended up with one win, 11 top five finishes and 19 top 10 finishes. With the new format he could make the finals.

Don’t forget that Logano is still very young and has a lot of time to grow still. He struggled a bit during the Chase last year, but in the last three races of the year he finished in the top 10. At 25/1 you can hedge out of this bet if he makes it deep in the Chase.

It wasn’t too long ago that Edwards finished runner-up in the Sprint Cup race (2011), but his last two seasons have been a bit rough. He has stated recently that he thinks he can win the Sprint Cup with the new format, but I don’t see that happening in 2014.

Edwards has a great 1st half to the season in 2013, but he didn’t have many good races down the stretch. He finished outside of the top five in his final five races and that won’t help his chances this year, as the Chase gets smaller after every few races.

2014 Sprint Cup Winner Predictions

In the new Chase format the top four drivers with battle it out in the final race (#36) of the season. I think with this format there is much better value taking a couple long shots. If a driver makes the championship round you could always hedge out if you want.

Complete 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Futures Odds

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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