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2014 MLB Home Run Derby Picks

When: Monday, July 14th 2014 at 7:00pm ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
Watch: Live on ESPN

I’m sure you’ve heard by now, but if not, the 2014 MLB Home Run Derby is on Monday. The competition has an entirely new format that’ll aim to make the event more exciting for the fans. The event will be shorter this year than in years past, which is good news.

Explaining the New Format

This year has seen some major changes to the format of the Home Run Derby.

Similar to in years past, a captain was selected from each team (AL & NL) and they selected who they wanted. This year Bautista is the captain of the American League team and Troy Tulowitzki is the captain of the National League team.

Instead of four players on each team like last year, this year each team will have a total of five sluggers. One of the major changes to the format is that each player will only receive seven outs each round rather than ten outs. I still expect to see some high HR totals posted despite having three less outs.

2014 HR Derby Betting Lines

Live Odds @ the Bovada Sportsbook ($250 Bonus)

Bovada has just released the odds for the 2014 Home Run Derby and unsurprisingly, Giancarlo Stanton is the favorite. Jose Bautista, Yasiel Puig and Yoenis Cespedes are all close behind Stanton. With the new format this derby should be extremely competitive.

Who Will Win the 2014 Home Run Derby

Let’s take a look at the National League first. I expect the NL Finals to be between Stanton and Tulowitzki in R3. I’m ruling Morneau out right away and while Frazier could be a surprise contender I don’t see it. Puig has power, but hasn’t hit the long ball well.

Stanton is a beast and hits the baseball with more power than anyone else in the league. I can already tell you that Stanton will hit the longest HR in the derby. I also like Tulowitzki though, as he has the ability to get into a groove and pile up the HR’s.

The American League is much tougher to predict. Bautista and Donaldson are the two I expect to advance into R3. Cespedes has the power, but like Puig – he has struggled this year to hit the long ball. I’m not sold on Dozier or Jones contending this year.

Bautista has the experience in the derby to make his way through to the AL Finals. However, I really like Donaldson to win the AL and advance to the final round. Donaldson has been mashing opposing pitchers all season and his swing is perfect for the derby.

My Predictions to Win the HR Derby

If I’m going to bet on a competition like the Home Run Derby than I want a nice payout if I hit. With all of these great hitters in the event anyone could end up winning. Stanton is a deserving favorite, but I’ll gladly take the 10/1 price on Donaldson to win.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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