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2013 Super Bowl Betting Lines

Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers – Super Bowl XLVII
When: 6:30pm ET. Sunday, February 3, 2013
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans

With Super Bowl betting lines open for nearly two full weeks, we usually see significant movement from the time they open to the time they close. The line opened with the 49ers favored by -5 at most Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. At the time I’m writing this article, about 60% of the wagers have gone for the Ravens, bringing Baltimore into the +3.5 neighborhood.

Latest Odds

Although early action has brought the Ravens point spread down to +3.5 at most betting sites, we can still get the Ravens +4 (-115) at the Bovada Sportsbook.

Bovada Sportsbook
US Friendly
JustBet Sportsbook
US Friendly
Spread
Money
Spread
Money
Ravens
49ers
+4 (-115)
-4 (-105)
+140
-160
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
+160
-180
Over/Under
o47.5 (-110) / u47.5 (-110)
o47.5 (-110) / u47.5 (-110)

The over/under opened at 49 in Las Vegas, and is down to the 47 – 47.5 range right now. If you like the under, go to Bovada where you can still get u47.5 (-110). If you like the over, go to JustBet where you can get o47 (-110).

Ravens vs. 49ers Basic Stats

With the Ravens defense healthy again, we can’t take a lot from their regular season stats. In their 3 playoff games, the Ravens has given up just 19 points/game, very good considering they did this up against Peyton Manning and Tom Brady, not to mention Andrew Luck. The Baltimore offense has stepped it up as well, gaining 424.7 YPG, and scoring 30 PPG.

In 2 playoffs games, the 49ers offense under Colin Kaepernick has also performed better than they did during the regular season. This kid is only getting better, evident in his 105.9 QB rating. Considering that both of these teams look significantly different than they did several weeks into the season, I don’t put a lot of weight into the stats listed above.

The latest Super Bowl betting lines tell us that the public isn’t concerned about the regular season stats either, as the Ravens are getting most of the action so far. With that said, Super Bowl lines can change on a dime if someone gets injured during practice, slipping in the shower, or some other crazy incident. If Ray Lewis or Dennis Pitta goes down (or even rumored to go down), the betting lines will go back the other direction.

Game Analysis

In what has been dubbed the “HarBowl”, Super Bowl 47 will feature the John Harbaugh coached Baltimore Ravens (13-6) versus the Jim Harbaugh coached San Francisco 49ers (13-4-1).

Neither team comes into this game with any major injury concerns. The Ravens are a little banged up, but nobody is expected to miss the game. The two week layoff has definitely helped the Ravens veteran defense get some much needed rest.

It’s difficult to predict what will happen in Super Bowl XLVII between these evenly matched teams. The gritty 49ers defense that ranked in the top 5 in almost every defensive category during the regular season has allowed 55 points combined against Green Bay and Atlanta. Considering the competition, that’s not as bad as it sounds.

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The San Francisco 49ers defense has allowed 653 passing yards and 185 rushing yards in the 2012-13 NFL playoffs. One of the problems has been a slow start by the defense. The Niners were down 14-7 against the Packers and 10-0 against the Falcons, but a come-from-behind win against the Ravens will be more difficult.

When you think of the Ravens offense you likely think of Ray Rice. While Rice has averaged 82.3 RYPG in the playoffs, the star on the offense has been QB Joe Flacco.

Flacco is 51/93 (54.6%) for 853 passing yards, 8 TD’s and 0 INT’s, plus he has a QB rating of 114.7 in the playoffs – compared to 87.7 during the regular season.

San Francisco’s defense hasn’t been playing like its usual self, but the offense has been playing great. The 49ers offense has put up 496 passing yards, 472 rushing yards and 10 TD’s in two playoff games. Also, Colin Kaepernick has only thrown 1 INT. If he can have another big game in the Super Bowl, the 49ers are going to be very tough to beat.

Baltimore has been clicking on both sides of the football. The defense has caused 8 turnovers (5 INT’s & 3 fumbles) and they’ve picked up 6 sacks in the playoffs already. However, they haven’t had to play against a mobile QB yet like Kaepernick.

With the Super Bowl being played in the Superdome I think the Ravens have a small edge. Baltimore didn’t play in a dome this season, but they have fast WR’s for the deep pass. The 49ers have played 3 indoor games and went 1-2 with losses to MIN/STL.

Key Battles

Kaepernick is averaging a whopping 11.2 rushing yards per carry in the playoffs, while Gore is averaging 4.8 yards per carry. Between the two of them they’ve gained 411 rushing yards on 62 attempts, and combined for 5 TD’s.

Baltimore is allowing an average of 128.3 RYPG in the playoffs and each of their opponents have rushed for 100+ yards against them. Trying to stop both players is going to be tough and a lot will rely on how well the LB’s can fill up the running lanes.

The good news for the Ravens is that Gore doesn’t run as well in domes. In 3 indoor games during the regular season Gore had an average of 3.8 yards per attempt, which was considerably lower than his 5.0 yards per attempt average in outdoor games. Fluke or not a fluke?

Flacco has been great in the playoffs, but he hasn’t done it by himself. The WR’s and TE have also been solid in every game and that’s a scary thought for the 49ers secondary that was just shredded up by the Falcons passing attack despite winning.

Anquan Boldin leads the team in every receiving category including receptions (16), receiving yards (276) and TD’s (3). I’ve been impressed with Torrey Smith and Dennis Pitta who have combined for 19 catches for 335 receiving yards and 4 TD’s.

Tarell Brown and Chris Culliver each have an INT for the 49ers, but the secondary has struggled a bit. The Niners are built to be big and hard hitting, but at times they can be beat with speed down the field and the Falcons proved that.

The 49ers only have two sacks in the playoffs and putting pressure on Flacco is imperative. Flacco has only been sacked 4 times, but the 49ers should be able to put pressure on him if they rush the LB’s including Smith, Willis, Bowman and Brooks.

Point Spread Pick

Baltimore has the tools to win this game. The current betting lines are moving against the Ravens, so I’m betting this now while +4 is still available. We’ve seen the line drop already and most books have +3.5, so I recommend grabbing the +4 at Bovada while you can still get it.

The 49ers were down early in each of their first two playoff games, and if you do that against Baltimore you’re asking for trouble. This team can shut down any offense, which they proved after holding Tom Brady to just 1 TD and 2 INT’s in the AFC Championship.

If you like the 49ers to cover the spread, keep an eye on the lines and be patient. I think we could see them -3 at some point later in the week, or maybe just before kickoff. The betting lines will be moving a lot as we get closer to the start of the game, and patience can be the difference between a winning or losing bet.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.


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