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2013 Adelaide Cup Betting Odds & Race Preview

2013 Adelaide Cup – Group 2 Race
When: 5:30pm CDT. Monday, 11 March 2013
Where: Morphettville Racecourse in South Australia

The 2013 Adelaide Cup is this coming Monday, which is a state holiday in South Australia. The crowds will be busy, but it will be worth it, as the feature race of the festival is very competitive. A full 20-horse field will take to the track in this Group 2 race.

Latest 2013 Adelaide Cup Betting Odds

SportsBet.com.au
Bet365.com
Tuscan Fire
4.60
5.00
Kutchinsky
5.50
5.00
You Think So
8.00
8.00
Dame Claire
11.00
8.50
Talent Show
13.00
12.00
My Ex Mate
11.00
13.00
Lucky Angel
13.00
15.00
Macedonian
9.00
15.00
Waratone
17.00
17.00
Norsqui
15.00
21.00
Titch
21.00
26.00
Red Shift
26.00
26.00
Readings
51.00
34.00
Enchanting Waters
61.00
34.00
Distillation
81.00
34.00
Club Royale
151.00
67.00
Dumosa
251.00
101.00
He's Hot To Trot
201.00
201.00
Baby Boy
201.00
251.00
Rilelilmag
251.00
251.00
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Favourites & Betting Analysis

The 3200m race will surely test each horses staying ability. This is an open handicap race that could be won by numerous horses in the field this year. However, Tuscan Fire (5.00) has been the favoured horse heading into the 2013 Adelaide Cup.

If we take a look at recent trends from the Adelaide Cup we want to find a horse that has won/placed in their last race, wasn’t the favourite (or co-favourite) in the betting market, won at 2000m+ in one of L3 races and raced 3+ times since last spell.

Tuscan Fire has been in great form recently finishing 3-1-2-1-1 in his L5 races. Tuscan Fire will be carrying 58.5kg and has drawn an outside barrier (16), which isn’t ideal, but not too big of a factor since the race is so long.

Kutchinsky (5.50) is an interesting prospect that has been steaming in at the bookies. In his L5 races he has gone 1-5-1-2-8. This is going to be the gallopers first time racing at the Morphettville Racecourse and his recent form has been a little shaky.

Since Tuscan Fire and Kutchinsky are the co-favourites in the 2013 Adelaide Cup betting market we’re not betting them. Rialya won the Adelaide Cup last year with a SP of 12/1. Two horses we like this year are You Think So (8.00) and My Ex Mate (13.00).

You Think So is currently priced 3rd in the market and he’s in good form. He finished 1st in his last race, 2nd the race before, and both of those races were 2500m. He also had two wins last year in 3000m races, so staying the distance won’t be a problem.

In the 2013 Adelaide Cup, You Think So has drawn barrier 18 and will be carrying 56kg. My Ex Mate has drawn barrier 17 and will have to carry 54kg. His L9 races have been on the Morphettville Racecourse, so he has a lot of track experience.

My Ex Mate finished 1st last time out in the Boag’s Lord Reims Stakes (G3) with Talent Show (13.00) finishing 2nd place. I ended up deciding to bet You Think So to win the 2013 Adelaide Cup because My Ex Mate struggles to race well in the heat. The current weather forecast has a high of 34 degrees on Monday and that doesn’t bode well for My Ex Mate.

There are several other horses in the field that could contend for a place finish this year including Titch (26.00) and Readings (51.00).

Both of those two horses fit the mould of recent winners in the Adelaide Cup. Bet365 is paying ¼ win odds in the E/W market if your horse places. Titch and Readings are both ideal candidates in the E/W betting market in the 2013 Adelaide Cup.

Betting Tips for the 2013 Adelaide Cup

I’m betting on You Think So to win at 8.00 in the 2013 Adelaide Cup. I also couldn’t pass on Readings in the E/W market. Readings is in good recent form (2-4-1-2-1) and the young 4-yo mare could surprise many handicappers and win this race let alone place.

She has only has 17 career races under her belt, which is tied for the least number of races in the 2013 Adelaide Cup. I don’t think the lack of experience will be a problem. Readings will be starting from barrier 2 and carrying just 54kgs.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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