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2012 Belgian Grand Prix Betting Odds

What: 2012 Shell Belgian Grand Prix
Where: Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps, Spa, Belgium
When: Sunday, September 2, 2012
2011 Finish/Starting Grid: Vettel (P1), Webber (P3), Button (P13), Alonso (P8), Schumacher (P24)

The Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps is one of the classic Formula 1 circuits dating back from over fifty years ago. It has a nice mix of high-speed and low-speed turns, with a couple of good spots for overtaking. Grid position is important here, but not as much as some other circuits. Although top qualifiers have an advantage, drivers lower on the grid have a chance to move up. This gives punters a better chance at finding value for outright winners, and even moreso for podium & top 6 bets.

For the 2012 Belgian Grand Prix, we’ll be looking for drivers who can move up from their starting positions. This isn’t like locking down P2 to finish in the top 3 at Monaco where we’re just trying to squeeze a bit of value out of someone. At Belgium we’re looking to use our heads, taking bigger risks for higher reward.

Below is a video of Red Bull’s Mark Webber running a lap in a Spa simulator. There’s a lot of insight about the track in this video, and punters who pay attention to F1 should watch it. Below the video is our early analysis and our betting tips for the 2012 Belgian Grand Prix.

2012 Belgian GP Betting Strategy

Since practice for the Belgian GP doesn’t start until Friday, now is a good time to look for value. In a race like this, many punters prefer to go after top 3 and top 6 bets before practice & qualifying begins, and outright winners after qualifying has ended.

There are arguments for & against this betting strategy, but it’s a strategy we like for this race. The reason is, even after qualifying is done we can realistically bet on some of the drivers in P3-P6 to win the race. So, we’ll still have a shot at some good value – after the field has been narrowed down a bit. At a circuit where the top 3 on the starting grid tend to finish in the same positions, we aren’t getting much value on the top drivers. So in these cases, a lot of punters prefer to bet before practice or qualifying has begun.

At Spa, our goal is to pick a dog or two to finish in the top 3 or 6 before practice begins. For outright winners, we prefer to wait until after qualifying. With that said, we know a lot of you are looking for betting tips for the outright winner, so below is our early prediction.

Belgian Grand Prix Outright Winner: Betting Odds & Free Tips

Most of the top mobile bookmakers already have odds posted for outright winners. At the time of this writing (Saturday, August 25, 3am GMT) none of the top books have top 3 or top 6 markets open. When they do, we’ll update this post with current odds and our favourite tips.

Outright Winner:

Driver
Bet365.com
Ladbrokes.com
Lewis Hamilton
3.25
3.50
Sebastian Vettel
4.50
5.00
Kimi Räikkönen
6.50
6.00
Fernando Alonso
7.50
7.00
Romain Grosjean
11.00
9.00
Mark Webber
11.00
11.00
Jenson Button
12.00
10.00
Nico Rosberg
34.00
34.00
Michael Schumacher
34.00
41.00

The last six races of the 2012 F1 season have been won by three drivers. Hamilton, Alonso, and Webber have each won 2 apiece, making them obvious favourites. In the last four races, Kimi Räikkönen has been on their heals, which is why his odds are as low as they are. Interestingly, no driver has won back-to-back races this year, and Lewis Hamilton has a shot to be the first at the 2012 Belgian GP. Räikkönen is getting love from the books because he’s won this race four times already (2004, 2005, 2007, 2009), and it’s hard to argue with his expertise & experience at Spa. Hamilton won it in 2010, while Sebastian Vettel won it in 2011.

Can you say “pick’em”?

The 2012 winner is anyone’s guess right now, with 4 completely legitimate drivers to choose from. But, as punters we’re looking for value. Alonso has never won in Belgium, and since 2008 has never finished higher than 4th. Although this might be his best chance ever, his poor results here eliminate him off our radar.

Hamilton and Vettel have won the last two Belgian Grand Prix’s respectively, but their odds are fairly short as well. Considering that Räikkönen has been knocking on the door so often lately, and his four previous wins at Spa, along with 6.50 odds at Bet365 – he’s our pre-qualifying pick to win.

We’re going with Kimi Räikkönen to take his first win of the 2012 F1 season, at 6.50 at Bet365.com.

This article was written by Jess

Jess is the editor of MobileSportsBetting.com. His job duties include everything nobody else is doing, and making sure it all gets done on time. When he gets a chance, Jess loves to write about NFL, MLB, Formula 1, and tennis betting.


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