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#2 Michigan Favored Over #11 Tennessee in the Sweet Sixteen

#2 Michigan Wolverines vs. #11 Tennessee Volunteers March Madness Preview

Time: Friday, March 28th 2014 at 7:15pm ET
Place: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis
Station: Watch Live on CBS

Based on the seeding of these two teams many expect the #2 Michigan Wolverines to easily beat the #11 Tennessee Volunteers, but I’m not convinced. Michigan has been the better team all season, but the Volunteers are heating up at the perfect time of the year.

Michigan vs. Tennessee Betting Lines

Michigan opened up as a –1 point favorite, but the line has quickly moved up with about 70% of the action on them. The total is up a single point from the opening line of 131 points. I expect the spread to keep moving up, so if you like Michigan I’d bet on them now.

Wolverines @ Volunteers Stats at a Glance

How These Two Teams Got to the Sweet 16 in March Madness

Michigan and Tennessee won all of their March Madness games by double digits. The Wolverines have beat Wofford and Texas while the Volunteers have beat Iowa, Massachusetts and Mercer. Tennessee has played three times due to the play-in game.

Will Michigan or Tennessee Cover the Spread?

Tennessee does come into this match-up playing the best basketball they’ve played all season, but my big worry is that they haven’t had a tough path to the Sweet Sixteen the way it worked out. Once they run into Michigan I expect them to struggle to score.

The Volunteers have some nice wins on the year, but they haven’t beaten any ranked opponents. Tennessee has lost to Florida (3X), Wichita State and Kentucky this year. One area where Tennessee has excelled in their three games is at the free throw line.

Tennessee has gone 72 of 87 from the charity stripe in their three games during the big dance, but I expect that edge to disappear against Michigan. The Wolverines only allow opposing teams to average 14.8 FT attempts per game, which ranks 1st in the nation.

Michigan is the higher scoring team and that’s mainly because of their 3-point shooting. The Wolverines have six players who can shoot the deep ball, but none better than Nik Stauskas who has gone 7 of 15 from beyond the arc in Michigan’s two games so far.

As a team Michigan has gone 21 of 45 on 3-point shots in two games. If you haven’t watched this team they love to shoot the deep ball. This can be worrisome, as shooting teams like Michigan can go cold from deep and never be able to recover in time.

One are where the Wolverines have to be careful is on the glass. They need to make sure they box out players like Jarnell Stokes, as he is a beast on the boards. Stokes has come down with 29 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive rebounds in just three games.

Will the Game Go Over or Under the Total?

Tennessee isn’t going to score as much as they have been recently because they won’t get to the FT line as often in this game, but I still expect this team to put up points. They always seem to get at least a half dozen easy buckets from pounding the offensive glass.

Michigan actually doesn’t match-up well inside with Tennessee and the Volunteers should feed the paint regularly. Michigan on the other hand will be looking to shoot open 3-point shots early in the clock and in transition whenever they can force a turnover.

Both teams have solid defenses, which is evident from the stats that I listed above, but both of these offenses have edges that they can exploit, so therefore I’m betting on the over. I expect the final score to be around 72-64 for the Wolverines on Friday night.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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