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#1 Florida vs. #7 Connecticut Final Four Betting Lines

#1 Florida Gators vs. #7 Connecticut Huskies Preview

When: Saturday, April 5th 2014 at 6:00pm ET
Where: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas
Watch: Live on TBS

The Florida Gators were probably the easiest selection to make it to the Final Four. Nothing is ever simple during the big dance, but Florida was the class of the South Region. The Gators beat Albany (67-55), Pittsburgh (61-45), UCLA (79-68) and Dayton (62-52).

The Connecticut Huskies have been the Cinderella story along with the Wildcats. UConn was in a tough East Region, but they were able to beat St. Joes (89-81), Villanova (77-65), Iowa State (81-76) and Michigan State (60-54) on their way to the Final Four.

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The action on the point spread is almost right down the middle, but almost 90% of bettors are on Florida to win this game SU. Most handicappers have been backing the over as well (70%), which I think is the wrong decision based on how these teams are playing.

Huskies vs. Gators Stats Pack

Both teams are very close on paper when it comes to offense, but Florida has played a tougher schedule. Defensively the Gators will have a considerable edge, but UConn will still be a tough match-up because of their two-guard combo of Napier and Boatright.

Will Florida or UConn Win in the Final Four

I think Florida edges this one out at the end, as they have more depth than UConn. The obvious problem with UConn is that they rely so heavily on Shabazz Napier. During the tournament Napier is averaging 23.3 PPG, 4.5 APG, 6 RPG and 2 SPG to lead his team.

However, that’s also why I think UConn will win. I honestly don’t expect Napier to have a bad game, as he knows that he won’t have another shot at a championship. Napier is by far the best player on the court and he can take over this game like he has so often.

There is no better example of what Napier can do than when he shot a buzzer beater earlier this year in a 65-64 win over Florida. In that game Napier went for 26 points, 4 rebounds, 2 assists and 3 steals. He also shot 5-8 from beyond the 3-point line in that game.

In the first game between these two teams UConn had trouble with the Florida big men. Patric Young and Casey Prather combined for 36 points, 14 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 steals and 1 block. The Huskies big men will have to match-up better with these two players.

Apart from Napier most people jump to Boatright next in terms of production, but DeAndre Daniels is playing great. He has averaged 17 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 0.8 SPG and 1.3 BPG during March Madness. If Daniels remains hot this game could end up going either way.

Florida plays best when they have a lead and thankfully they’ve held a lead for most of the tournament, but it’ll be interesting to see how they react if UConn has a hot start like they did against MSU. Will Scottie Wilbekin handle the pressure or panic if down early?

Will the Game Go Over or Under the Total

UConn is averaging 76.8 PPG on offense during the big dance, but that’s not going to hold up against this Gators defense. I expect to see both defenses play well and for shots not to drop consistently early on. I expect no more than 120 points to be scored in total.

The Huskies did well to shutdown the MSU big men as best they could and MSU is better upfront than Florida. Michael Frazier II is a player that worries me a bit due to his 3-point shooting, but the UConn guards have been excellent at defending during the tourney.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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